Predicting 16.4 of the 2016 CrossFit Open

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September 28, 2022

Only two workouts remain in the 2016 CrossFit Open. Every year since 2012, each CrossFit Open has had one repeat workout from a previous year. Last year, for example, 15.2 was a repeat of 14.2. With only two workouts remain in the 2016 CrossFit Open our prediction this week is that 16.4 will be a repeat workout. But which repeat?

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The Prediction
Repeat of 15.5
27-21-15-9 reps for time of:
Row (calories)
Thrusters
Men use 95 lb.
Women use 65 lb.

The Reasoning

As we’ve already mentioned, each year the Open has been in existence (since its inaugural debut in 2011) there has been a repeat workout from a previous year. These workouts are included so athletes can measure their performance year-to-year and see how much their fitness has improved. Based on the movements we’ve already had in the 2016 Open thus far—and assuming that Castro doesn’t want to repeat any variation of those movements in another workout (like power cleans, for example)—there are only four previous workouts available to us.

Next, let’s consider the athletes for the live announcement of the workout: Katrin Davidsdottir and Sara Sigmundsdottir. The reigning Fittest Woman on Earth versus the 3rd place finisher, both Icelandic. This is an intriguing match-up, and in terms of a head-to-head contest of mental grit (as well as fitness), there are very few workouts that can match the intensity of 15.5. When they performed the workout for the first time last year, Sigmundsdottir tied for 20th in the world with a time of 06:55, while Davidsdottir was 120th with a time of 07:26. It’s also worth mentioning that the two Icelandic athletes will take on the workout alongside service members from Schriever Air Force Base in Colorado Springs, Colorado.

We also have to recognize that 16.5 features a star-studded triplet of athletes in Rich Froning, Ben Smith, and Mat Fraser—what’s the likelihood that a repeat workout is saved for the last workout of the Open?

Oh, and if it means anything, at the time of writing Dave Castro has posted this solitary clue:

A photo posted by @thedavecastro on

So, let’s strap in and prepare to relive one of the toughest workouts in Open history.

Good luck!

About Damect Dominguez

Co-founder of BoxLife Magazine. Author: Training Day: 400+ Workouts to Incorporate in Your Training.

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