How muscular can someone get without steroids?
That simple question has sparked countless online debates, controversy, and comment section warsโespecially when a lean, visibly jacked physique comes into question.
One of the most misunderstood aspects in these discussions is the difference between โlikely enhancedโ and โdefinitely not natural.โ
Letโs break down the science, the real-life examples, and the logic behind how big you can get naturallyโand why saying someone is “definitely not natty” without evidence is a big mistake.
Dr. Mike Israetel from Renaissance Periodization recently unpacked this controversy in a detailed breakdown sparked by a Jeff Nippard video about looking enhanced while staying natural.
Hereโs what you need to know.
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What Is FFMI and Why 25 Is the “Magic” Number
The Fat-Free Mass Index (FFMI) is a metric used to assess lean muscle mass relative to height. In fitness circles, the number 25 gets tossed around as the supposed maximum achievable value for natural athletes.
This number comes from a 1995 study by Kouri et al., which compared steroid users and non-users. Most steroid users fell above the FFMI of 25. Non-users were clustered below.
This led many to assume that anything over 25 was โunnatural.โ But there’s a serious flaw hereโthe sample size was limited, and the non-userโs data topped out just under 25, making the distribution oddly skewed.
โIt’s not a normal bell curve,โ explains Dr. Mike. โThat absence of data above 25 doesn’t confirm a limit; it may just reflect a lack of representation.โ
Sampling Error: Why Genetics and Opportunity Matter
Exceptional genetic outliers exist, but they often leave the natural testing pool once their physique becomes competitive enough to transition to professionally enhanced categories.
Many of those capable of exceeding an FFMI of 25 naturally never get documented as suchโbecause they start using steroids before reaching their true natural limit.
โIโve seen this countless times,โ Dr. Mike says. โGuys with elite genetics switch to gear before hitting their natural peak.โ
That means realistic natural limits could be higher than previously documentedโnot because science was wrong, but because high-potential individuals move out of the โnattyโ category before being counted.
Yes, 25+ FFMI Is Possible for NaturalsโAnd Proven
Contrary to online dogma, the existence of natural athletes with FFMI over 25 is backed by evidence.
- Sumo wrestlers and American football players have tested natural with FFMIs that exceed 25.
- Peer-reviewed literature supports these findingsโthese arenโt social media claims; theyโre data points from actual studies.
This shows not only that FFMI over 25 is possible without steroids, but that muscle distribution and body types vary considerably across populations.
Take a Look Before You Judge: The Hussein Farhat Example
The controversy heated up over athlete Hussein Farhat, featured in Jeff Nippardโs video as a suspected natural with a standout physique.
Many viewers claimed there was no way he could be natural. The twist? His FFMI was under 23โwell below even the debated 25 threshold.
โPeople flipped out over his physique, but heโs not even at the so-called natty limit,โ Dr. Mike explained.
What Hussein does have is rare muscle insertions and eye-catching proportionsโespecially his delts and arms. Muscle shape, not size, was responsible for most of the perception that he looks enhanced.
Why You Shouldnโt Confuse Probability with Certainty
This is where most “natty or not” debates fall apart.
An FFMI over 25 means itโs more likely than not someone uses steroids. But โmore likelyโ does not mean โdefinitely.โ
Here’s a breakdown of how that probability works:
- FFMI 25โ27.5: Possibly enhanced, maybe 60โ75% probability
- FFMI 27.5โ30: Likely enhanced, 85โ95% probability
- FFMI 30+: Extremely likely enhanced (97โ99%+)
But 97% isnโt 100%. Just like a soldier heading to Vietnam had a 2% chance of dyingโthat doesnโt mean you tell them โyouโll definitely survive.โ
โDonโt clown yourself by saying โdefinitelyโโyou could be totally wrong,โ says Dr. Mike.
How Big Can You Actually Get Without Steroids?
If youโre hoping to find out your natural muscle-building potential, you have two tools:
1. Use Menno Henselmansโ Natty Max Calculator
Enter your height, wrist and ankle measurements to get an estimate. It uses evidence-based formulas and trends observed in natural bodybuilding.
The catch? Itโs still just thatโan estimate. Some people outperform the prediction. Others fall short despite perfect training and nutrition.
2. Train Hard for 5โ10 Years and See
Your best indicator of your genetic ceiling is how you progress over time.
โYouโll never know unless you try,โ says Dr. Mike. โAnd it takes years to truly find out.โ
Elite drug-free physiques take a long time and all-out dedication.
Exceptional Genetics Arenโt CommonโBut They Do Exist
Part of the disbelief around natural physiques comes from unfamiliarity with just how powerful genetics can be.
โPaul Canu had a six-pack at 10 years old. He was jacked before he even started lifting,โ Mike says.
These rare individuals exist and often rise to fame because of how rare their genetics areโnot in spite of it.
If you assume everyone with a high-tier physique must be enhanced, you’re dismissing outliers too easily.
Final Takeaways: What Should You Believe?
- Falling into the trap of assuming โprobably not naturalโ means โdefinitely not naturalโ can mislead and divide the community.
- FFMI over 25 is not an automatic steroid indicator. Use it as a hint, not a final verdict.
- Want to know your natty limit? Train hard and diet well for 5โ10 years. The truth is in your effort, not the guesswork.
- Exceptional physiques are rare, but real. Genetics, hard work, and smart training all play a role.
And if you’re chasing your best self, whether you’re drug-free or assisted, the real question isn’t โnatty or not.โ
ItโsโโAm I maxing out what Iโm capable of?โ
Because in the end, thatโs what matters most.










